Notebook 5 runs the project on real inputs and produces district-level wheat risk scores. This is the core analytical output in the current release wave: the point where all the dull upstream checks start to look useful.
Here I assemble features, score districts, and frame the ranking as a triage tool for deeper review.
Business lane: Risk & Opportunity Framing Technical lane: Risk ModelingExecutive summary.
This is the first notebook where upstream pipeline decisions become a stakeholder-facing ranked output. The technical preparation work turns into district signals that can support prioritization, not replace judgment.
- Primary output
- District-level wheat risk scores
- Signal components
- Climate stress indicators and soil-linked modifiers
- Delivery format
- Ranked outputs plus map-ready geospatial layers
Analysis with Real Data
Engineer climate and soil-linked features, estimate district risk scores, and visualize geographic concentration of risk.
Key output
The notebook reproduces the expected sandy-soil drought pattern on live data and generates ranked district-level risk outputs for interpretation. The ranking is only useful when it travels with its explanation.
Decision framing: rankings are intended for triage and investigation, not as a final policy recommendation in isolation.
| Output layer | Purpose | Typical consumer |
|---|---|---|
| District risk score | Prioritize zones for deeper review | Product, strategy, and operations stakeholders |
| Feature contribution slice | Explain why districts rank higher or lower | Data and analytics teams |
| Map layer export | Support communication and review in geospatial tools | Mixed business and technical audiences |
- Model communication principleExplainability is part of product quality: rankings need interpretable evidence so teams know what they are looking at before they act on it.
Interpretation boundary
This is a screening layer. It can point to places worth deeper review, but it needs to travel with the feature notes, coverage checks, and validation caveats from the earlier notebooks.
Open notebook source
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